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Could Solana Surpass Ethereum?

Economist and trader Alex Krüger weighs in on the possibility of Solana surpassing Ethereum's market cap

September 30, 2024 02:00 PM

Reading time: 2 minutes, 4 seconds

TL;DR Economist and trader Alex Krüger weighs in on the possibility of Solana surpassing Ethereum's market cap. He shares his insights on the Unchained podcast and discusses Solana's current position and future potential.

In a recent episode of the Unchained podcast, closely followed economist and trader Alex Krüger shared his thoughts on the potential of Solana (SOL) exceeding Ethereum's (ETH) market cap. The discussion was sparked by Multicoin Capital managing partner Kyle Samani's perspective that Solana will eventually flip Ethereum.

Krüger's Long-Term Bullish Outlook

During the podcast, Krüger expressed his long-term bullish stance on SOL/ETH. He believes Solana has everything it needs to surpass Ethereum in the long run.

"I think it's very feasible in the long run. I'm not betting on that trade, but I think it's feasible," Krüger stated. He highlighted that Solana is the only blockchain outside of Ethereum that has reached what he calls 'escape velocity.'

Krüger elaborated on why he thinks Solana is well-positioned for this potential flip. He pointed out that Solana has nothing to prove and has all the necessary components to make it happen.

"The volume is there, the innovation is there," he added. This indicates that Solana's growth and development have reached a point where it can compete with Ethereum on equal footing.

Analyzing the Market Dynamics

Krüger also delved into the market dynamics between SOL and ETH. "I'm looking at charts and the euphoria and the breakpoint euphoria. I just happened to put up this SOL/ETH chart.

If you change the window by seven days, it will be flat on the year," he explained. This suggests that when viewed over short periods, Solana's market performance shows stability and potential.

He also discussed the differential in implied volatility between SOL and ETH. According to Krüger, this differential is about the same as the performance differential or price performance for 2024.

"I was just thinking and reflecting that by looking at the euphoria and the attacks because the attacks are regular, these ETH going after SOL and SOL going after ETH, you would expect the price differential to be 2x, not 25%," he noted. This indicates that the competition between the two blockchains is intense, but Solana is holding its ground.

Future Implications

Krüger's insights provide a thought-provoking perspective on the future of blockchain technology and the potential shifts in market dynamics. His analysis suggests that while Ethereum remains a dominant force, Solana is emerging as a formidable contender.

If Solana continues on its current trajectory, the possibility of surpassing Ethereum's market cap might not be as far-fetched as some investors believe.

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