Financial Advisors Approach Bitcoin ETFs with Caution
Analysts are predicting a bullish future for Bitcoin
June 17, 2024 04:00 AM
Reading time: 2 minutes, 16 seconds
TL;DR The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January marked a significant milestone. However, financial advisors are approaching these new investment vehicles with caution.
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January marked a significant milestone. These ETFs have opened new doors for investors seeking to gain Bitcoin exposure without directly holding the cryptocurrency. However, financial advisors are cautiously approaching these new investment vehicles, carefully analyzing their potential impact on client portfolios.
Insights from BlackRock
BlackRock's Chief Investment Officer of ETF and Index Investments, Samara Cohen, provided insights during the Coinbase State of Crypto Summit in New York City.
Cohen explained that self-directed investors use online brokerage accounts to make about 80% of Bitcoin ETF purchases. According to last quarter's 13-F filings, hedge funds and brokerages have also been active buyers. However, registered investment advisors need to be more confident.
Cohen stated, "I would call them wary... That's their job." She emphasized advisors' fiduciary responsibility to their clients, noting that Bitcoin's historical price volatility, which has reached 90% at times, necessitates thorough risk analysis and due diligence.
Financial advisors meticulously evaluate data and risk analytics to determine Bitcoin's appropriate role in investment portfolios, considering risk tolerance and liquidity needs.
"This is a moment, in terms of really putting forward important data, risk analytics [and determining] the role Bitcoin can play in a portfolio, what sort of allocation is appropriate given an investor's risk tolerance, their liquidity needs.
"That's what an advisor is supposed to do, so I think this journey that we're on is exactly the right one, and they're doing their jobs," Cohen added.
Analysts' Bullish Outlook
While financial advisors remain cautious, some analysts hold a bullish outlook on Bitcoin's future. Bernstein, a significant asset manager with $725 billion in assets, predicts that Bitcoin's price could reach $1 million by 2033.
The new forecast suggests a cycle-high of $200,000 by 2025. This prediction is driven by unprecedented demand from spot ETFs and Bitcoin's limited supply. Bernstein's previous estimate was $150,000 for 2025, reflecting their growing optimism about Bitcoin's potential.
"The ETFs combined brought in around $15 billion of net new flows. We expect Bitcoin ETFs to be equivalent to approximately 7% of Bitcoin in circulation by 2025 and nearly 15% of Bitcoin supply by 2033," Bernstein analysts wrote.
The Future of Cryptocurrency ETFs
WAX co-founder William Quigley also commented on the proliferation of ETFs for other cryptocurrencies like Solana. "Wall Street is greedy," Quigley said, suggesting that the success of Bitcoin ETFs will spur similar products.
However, he cautioned that if the momentum slows, ETF providers might shift focus or shut down underperforming ETFs due to a lack of demand.
In summary, introducing Bitcoin ETFs has created opportunities and challenges for investors and advisors alike.
While analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin's future, financial advisors are cautious. They focus on thorough risk analysis and due diligence to protect their clients' best interests.