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Bitcoin Historically Bounces Back by 8% in July

By Anthony Burr | TH3FUS3 Managing Editor

July 1, 2024 06:43 AM

Reading time: 1 minute, 39 seconds

TL;DR Bitcoin (BTC) may see a strong rebound in July following a lackluster June performance. According to analysts, the cryptocurrency fell almost 7% in June. BTC has posted minimum monthly gains of 8% for seven of the last eleven July trading periods.

According to analysts, Bitcoin (BTC) may see a strong rebound in July following a lackluster June, when it fell almost 7%.

According to data from Coinglass, which tracks Bitcoin's monthly returns beginning in 2013, the price of Bitcoin dropped as much as 6.96% last month and has historically averaged a slump of 0.35% in June.

In a June 30 post to X, Ali Martinez, a crypto markets analyst, noted that in previous years, whenever June ends in a downtrend, the following month sees a roaring comeback, with Bitcoin gaining an average of 7.42% historically.

Historical Trends

BTC has posted minimum monthly gains of 8% for seven of the last eleven July trading periods. Memecoin analyst Murad also noted this in a post to their 103,000 followers on X, pointing to the swift historical rebounds beginning in July.

Murad noted that Bitcoin had posted minimum gains of 28% in the first few weeks of every July for the last six consecutive years.

However, several analysts predict that July could be a tougher month than usual. They point to sizeable sales of Bitcoin from the German government and the upcoming Mt. Gox repayments, which could put pressure on the price of Bitcoin.

Mt. Gox Bitcoin Adds New Pressure

These repayments are expected to see around $8.5 billion in BTC paid back to creditors starting in the first week of this month.

However, several analysts believe the impact of these repayments may not be as dire as many investors expect, with only $4 billion of this amount standing to hit the spot BTC market.

"Bitcoin had been trading strongly in a low to mid $60,000 range despite headwinds," said Jonathan de Wet, chief investment officer at digital asset trading firm ZeroCap.

He said he expects the asset to hold around this level but noted it could fall to its "key support" level at around $57,000 in the coming weeks as Mt. Gox creditor repayments hit the market.

Historically, Bitcoin's best monthly performance tends to arrive in November, posting an average monthly gain of 46.81% since 2013.

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