Standard Chartered Bank Says BTC Price Will Rise to $150K This YearBTC Price Forecast
The global bank forecasts a Bitcoin price of $240,000 by 2025
March 18, 2024 12:46 PM
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TL;DR Standard Chartered Bank has notably increased its bitcoin price prediction to $150,000, up from $100,000, based on the strong performance of spot bitcoin ETFs and other factors. With continuous inflows and potentially new buyers on the horizon, the bank also entertains the possibility of bitcoin reaching $250,000 by 2025.
In a recent report, Standard Chartered Bank has made headlines by significantly raising its bitcoin price prediction for the coming years, attributing this optimistic forecast to a series of factors currently shaping the cryptocurrency market.
The bank now expects bitcoin to reach $150,000 by the end of 2024, a substantial increase from its earlier estimate of $100,000. This revision is largely due to the strong inflows observed in spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States, which have contributed to positive price action for the digital currency.
According to the bank's analysts, led by Geoffrey Kendrick, the inflows into spot bitcoin ETFs are outstripping the growth of open interest in bitcoin derivatives. This trend suggests a more sustainable positioning this time around, compared to the stretched levels seen in 2021.
The analysts highlight that these inflows are likely to be 'sticky pension-type flows,' indicating a long-term investment horizon.
Currently, bitcoin's price hovers around $68,000, having briefly surpassed $73,000 earlier in the month. Despite these impressive figures, Standard Chartered maintains an even more ambitious target of $200,000 for bitcoin by the end of 2025.
This projection is based on the analogy with gold and the optimization of portfolios to include an 80% gold and 20% bitcoin allocation. The bank's analysis suggests that for bitcoin's share to rise to the indicated 20%, its price would need to reach $190,000, assuming gold prices remain constant.
However, the bank also posits an even more bullish scenario where bitcoin could touch the $250,000 mark sometime in 2025. This would be contingent upon spot bitcoin ETF inflows meeting the bank's mid-point estimate of $75 billion and/or if forex reserve managers begin purchasing bitcoin.
The analysts see a growing likelihood of significant announcements from large reserve managers regarding bitcoin purchases in 2024, which could serve as a major catalyst for the price surge.
In conclusion, Standard Chartered's revised forecast for bitcoin's price reflects a growing confidence in the cryptocurrency's market dynamics and its potential for substantial growth. With the ongoing influx of investments into spot bitcoin ETFs and the possibility of new, large-scale buyers entering the market, the future looks promising for bitcoin's valuation.
As the digital currency continues to evolve, it remains to be seen how these predictions will unfold in the coming years.